The weather forecast has been adjusted, and it is predicted that the heaviest rainfall will occur in certain areas of South Florida on Monday. Overnight and into Monday, the rest of the Peninsula will begin to experience the effects of the approaching low-pressure system in the Sunshine State. In the evening and morning hours on Monday, the Panhandle can expect some rain showers, with the most intense precipitation remaining offshore but moving east-southeast.
By Monday morning, downpours may start moving along I-75 from North Florida towards Central Florida. By early afternoon, scattered thunderstorms could be seen in the southern half of Florida. However, South Florida is expected to experience rounds of showers in the morning, followed by heavier downpours and isolated intense storms between 11 AM and the afternoon. While widespread severe weather is not anticipated, some of these thunderstorms could bring damaging wind gusts of 58 mph or more, as the majority of the moisture will pass over South Florida. Additionally, there is a possibility of localized flooding in certain areas.
Overall, we anticipate rainfall amounts of up to 1 inch across north Florida through Central Florida. In certain isolated areas, particularly in Central Florida, rainfall could reach as high as 2.5 inches. In South Florida, rainfall amounts are expected to range between one and a half to 2.5 inches. However, there is a possibility of isolated areas receiving up to 4 inches of rainfall.
Florida has only received 1.48 inches of rain this year, specifically at Miami International Airport. This is below average for this period, with a deficit of over 2.5 inches.
Expect gradual clearing along the entire Peninsula as this system progresses, with improvements from north to south on Monday night. However, South Florida will still see scattered rain showers overnight on Monday and Tuesday morning. By Tuesday afternoon, the entire Peninsula will be under the influence of North winds, resulting in lower humidity levels and very comfortable temperatures.
Tuesday and Wednesday are expected to bring below-average high temperatures across most of the Peninsula. Central Florida will see highs around the low 70s, while South Florida can expect temperatures in the mid to upper 70s. Despite the cooler temperatures, lows will still be slightly above average for this time of year.
A cold front is set to cross the state on Thursday night, bringing with it cooler and drier air to Florida. This weather change arrives just in time to wrap up the week.