Scattered storms have formed across the region as a result of the high humidity. These “heat-driven” storms may last for several hours before gradually weakening around midnight.
A massive line of storms will form over Texas and Oklahoma late tonight before moving into western Arkansas and Louisiana. These storms will continue to move through the region until Monday morning, when they will escape to the east around mid- to late morning. The biggest risk for this line will be damaging wind.
On Memorial Day, we get a reprieve from the active weather for much of the midday and afternoon before another large storm approaches in the evening. Once again, the approaching storms will bring the possibility of destructive wind and huge hail, as well as extremely heavy rainfall. Rainfall is forecast to reach 2–4 inches over the next 24 hours, with some areas receiving more than 5 inches. A flood watch has been issued for the whole region.
Monday’s temperatures will be significantly cooler, with highs in the mid- to upper 70s along and north of I-20 and low to mid 80s south.
Unfortunately, this active trend will persist, with further storms expected through Thursday. Each round will increase the likelihood of severe weather and heavy rain.
Finally, it appears that we will break out of this stormy pattern by Friday, with much quieter weather expected by next weekend.