According to a recent poll, the Senate election in Texas is currently at a virtual deadlock between Sen. Ted Cruz (R) and Rep. Colin Allred (D).
In the Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey, Cruz was marginally ahead of Allred by 1 percentage point, with 48 percent to 47 percent of the vote and 5 percent undecided. This is even more competitive than the most recent poll of the race from Emerson in September, in which Cruz maintained a four-point lead, with 49 percent to 45 percent.
The candidates are approximately equal in their net favorability rating, which is determined by subtracting the percentage of individuals who view them unfavorably from the percentage who view them favorably. Cruz has a rating of -1 point, while Allred has a rating of 2 points.
Allred’s name recognition has continued to increase, with only 10% of respondents indicating that they are unfamiliar with him, a decrease from 18% at the beginning of last month. Cruz maintains an advantage in terms of recognition, as virtually no one affirms that they are unfamiliar with him.
Allred’s competitiveness in the poll is partially due to a modest advantage among independents, which she holds by 5 points, with 47 percent to 42 percent. In the interim, former President Trump maintains a two-point advantage over Vice President Harris among these voters.
Trump has increased his overall advantage over Harris in the state from five points in the most recent poll to seven points.
In a Senate configuration that otherwise presents Republicans with numerous potential pickup opportunities, Democrats have expressed optimism for Texas, one of two states.
The race has appeared to be more competitive than it was earlier this year, although this poll indicates a closer race than some of the most recent ones. The polling average from The Hill/Decision Desk HQ indicates that Cruz is ahead of Allred by approximately 3.5 points.
Harris will be accompanied by women who have been impacted by abortion restrictions in states such as Texas when she campaigns in Texas with Allred on Friday.
From October 18 to 21, 815 likely voters participated in the Emerson poll. The credibility interval of the poll, which was 3.4 points, was comparable to the margin of error.
